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宋维举 ，武向阳 ，石华旺 ，谯   锋   

（ 河北工程大学 土木工程学院 ，河北 邯郸 056038)

摘   要：为了评估医院建筑火灾风险，提出基于博弈论—云模型的医院建筑火灾风险评价模型。通过分析医院建筑火灾的事故原因 ，建立了包含16个评价指标的医院建筑火灾风险评价指标体系，将博弈理论的综合赋 权思想和云模型理论结合，构建了基于博弈论—云模型的医院建筑火灾风险评价模型，用该模型来确定各评价 指标的综合权重和评价对象的风险等级；将该模型应用于某医院，评价得出火灾风险等级为 “较安全 ”，与现实情况基本一致。结果表明：所建模型可以用于公共医院建筑火灾风险评价，可为公共医院建筑火灾评估提供借鉴。

关键词：火灾风险评估；博弈论；云模型；改进层析分析法；熵权法

中图分类号：TU998           

文献标志码：A            

文章编号： 1005- 8249   (2024)  05- 0142- 07 

DOI:10. 19860/j.cnki.issn1005 - 8249.2024.05 .026

 

SONG Weiju ,  WU Xiangyang ,  SHI Huawang ,  QIAO Feng

(School of Civil Engineering ,  Hebei University of Engineering ,  Handan 056038 ,  China)

Abstract: In order to evaluate hospital building fire risk, this paper proposes a hospital building fire risk assessment model based on game theory and cloud model. Firstly, by analyzing the accident causes of hospital building fire, a hospital building fire risk evaluation index system including 16 evaluation indexes is established. Secondly, combining game theory and cloud model theory, a hospital building fire risk assessment model based on game theory and cloud model is constructed, which is used to determine the comprehensive weight of each evaluation index and the risk level of the evaluation object. Finally, a traditional Chinese medicine hospital in North China is selected for example application, and the fire risk level of the hospital is calculated as "relatively safe", which is basically consistent with the reality. The results show that the model can be used for fire risk assessment of public hospital buildings and can provide reference for fire assessment of public hospital buildings.

Keywords: fire risk assessment; game theory; cloud model; improved chromatography; entropy weight method

*基金项目： 河北省 自然科学基金项 目  ( E2019402395 ) ; 邯郸市科技计划项目  (21422053231 ) 。

作者简介：宋维举  (1986—) , 男，博士，讲师，研究方向： 建筑消防安全 、建筑安全管理。

通信作者：武向阳  (1999—) , 男，硕士研究生，研究方向： 建筑消防安全、建筑安全管理。

收稿日期：2023- 03- 21